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Posts tagged Criminal Justice Policy
Uncertainty, Risk and the Use of Algorithms in Policy Decisions: A Case Study on Criminal Justice in the USA

By Kathrin Hartmann & Georg Wenzelburger

Algorithms are increasingly used in different domains of public policy. They help humans to profile unemployed, support administrations to detect tax fraud and give recidivism risk scores that judges or criminal justice managers take into account when they make bail decisions. In recent years, critics have increasingly pointed to ethical challenges of these tools and emphasized problems of discrimination, opaqueness or accountability, and computer scientists have proposed technical solutions to these issues. In contrast to these important debates, the literature on how these tools are implemented in the actual everyday decision-making process has remained cursory. This is problematic because the consequences of ADM systems are at least as dependent on the implementation in an actual decision-making context as on their technical features. In this study, we show how the introduction of risk assessment tools in the criminal justice sector on the local level in the USA has deeply transformed the decision-making process. We argue that this is mainly due to the fact that the evidence generated by the algorithm introduces a notion of statistical prediction to a situation which was dominated by fundamental uncertainty about the outcome before. While this expectation is supported by the case study evidence, the possibility to shift blame to the algorithm does seem much less important to the criminal justice actors.

Policy Sci 54, 269–287 (2021)

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Sentencing Still Matters: Michael Tonry's Framework for Treating Like Cases Alike and Different Cases Differently

By Rhys Hester

Michael Tonry has been the leading commentator on the American sentencing reform movement since its beginning. Sentencing Matters, one of the most influential works on American sentencing ever produced, was written at the crest of the sentencing guidelines movement. Now, some fifty years into that movement, American punishment policy finds itself at a standstill. This festschrift essay honor’s Tonry’s contributions to the sentencing reform literature, contemplates the reasons why the reform movement was not more successful in the United States, and reflects on how Tonry’s work continues to provide a framework for more sensible policy. The essay draws on the field of behavioral economics to underscore the need for decision tools like sentencing guidelines to help fulfill a more fair and just system of punishment. Yet as Tonry’s work has illustrated, the Aristotelian maxim of justice requires not only that like cases be treated alike, but that different cases be treated differently.

Crim Law Forum 36, 219–231 (2025).

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Non-Fatal Strangulation Laws and Intimate Partner Homicides

By Dércio de Assis, Arpita Ghosh, Sonia Oreffice, Climent Quintana-Domeque 

Do non-fatal strangulation laws save lives? Non-fatal strangulation (NFS) is a common and dangerous form of intimate partner violence (IPV) and a predictor of homicide, yet it was historically neglected by the criminal justice system. Since the year 2000, most U.S. states have enacted laws enlisting NFS as a standalone criminal offense. We compile a novel dataset on state NFS statutes and link it to the FBI Supplementary Homicide Reports from 1990 to 2019 to estimate the causal effects of these laws on IPH rates. Using a difference-in-differences strategy, and an estimator that accounts for staggered adoption and treatment heterogeneity, we find that NFS laws led to significant reductions in IPH rates. We estimate that these laws reduce female-victim IPH by 14% and male-victim IPH by 36%, among victims aged 18-34. No significant effects are observed for victims 50 and above or for homicides committed by strangers. Event-study estimates support the parallel trends assumption. Our findings suggest that NFS laws can disrupt the escalation of IPV and reduce lethal outcomes.

  IZA DP No. 18006  Bonn:  IZA – Institute of Labor Economics, 2025. 61p.

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STATEWIDE COURT APPEARANCE PROJECT FINAL REPORT. Recommendations to Address Court Appearance Issues in North Carolina

By The Statewide Appearance Project

In North Carolina, about 18% of criminal cases have at least one missed court date, resulting in at least 250,000 missed hearings per year. Most missed appearances occur in low-level cases, with administrative traffic misdemeanor charges accounting for the greatest number of missed court dates. Missed appearances have numerous consequences, including case delays that decrease system efficiency and increase strain on limited court and law enforcement resources. In North Carolina, missed appearances in low-level cases are a significant driver of jail bookings, leading to pressure on jail budgets and jail overcrowding. Additionally, license revocations imposed after a missed appearance prevent one in ten driving-age North Carolinians from legally driving, making it harder for them to appear in court in the future, get to work, and care for themselves and their families. Fortunately, evidence-based solutions can address court appearance issues. In this project, the Statewide Court Appearance Project Committee considered the data and evidence, listened to experts, and robustly evaluated a range of court appearance solutions used in North Carolina and around the nation. Its members unanimously present the following recommendations to both promote court appearance and provide alternative system responses to missed appearances in North Carolina.   

North Carolina Judicial Branch, 2025. 82p.

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