By Jay P. Kennedy

Product counterfeiting is a pervasive crime that involves the unauthorized use of a legitimate trademark, a violation of intellectual property rights. Counterfeiting is also one of many forms of global illicit trade, mirroring legitimate markets in structure and reach. Counterfeit goods span nearly every product category from luxury items and electronics to pharmaceuticals and military components, posing risks that range from consumer deception to threats to public health. The globalization of commerce and trade and the rise of e-commerce and social media have significantly expanded counterfeiters’ reach, enabling them to exploit legitimate supply chains and marketplaces and reach consumers around the world. The production and
distribution of counterfeit goods often involve sophisticated networks, including legitimate businesses and transnational criminal organizations, and are sometimes linked to human trafficking and forced labor. Despite regulatory efforts and public–private partnerships aimed at curbing counterfeiting, enforcement remains challenging due to the complexity of global supply chains and the difficulty in distinguishing counterfeit operations from legitimate ones. This article describes what product counterfeiting is and addresses how
markets for counterfeit goods represent an illicit parallel market that is in many ways intermingled with aspects of legitimate markets. The role of consumers as drivers of demand for counterfeits is addressed, and motivations for consumers’ willful purchase of counterfeit goods are explored. This article also provides exploratory insights about the supply chains for some of these products

By Joras Ferwerda

Criminals launder their proceeds from crime, either themselves or by paying a professional, to disguise the link between the criminal, the crime, and the proceeds. This allows the criminal to spend the proceeds more freely and lowers the chance of receiving unwanted attention from the authorities. This paper investigates the structure and dynamics of the understudied market for money laundering services. The analysis reveals that this illegal market is demand-driven and fragmented, with different forms of laundering, each requiring different steps with varying levels of risk. High search costs, specialized money launderers, and uncertainties lead to local monopolies. Demand tends to be relatively inelastic because criminals eventually need laundering services to spend their proceeds. Local monopolies, inelastic demand, and poor information flows
lead to relatively high prices for laundering. Trust issues and two-sided asymmetric information lead to a market with relationships that tend to last longer than generally expected in illegal markets.

By: Philippe Le Billona, Zelda Ladefoged, and U. Rashid Sumailac

About 3.5 million fishing vessels ply the world’s oceans, providing livelihoods and food for millions of people.
Sound management is key to fisheries’ sustainability, but illegal fishing, along with fishing overcapacity generally and environmental change, are putting many fisheries at risk. Illegal fishing is a globally pervasive yet unevenly distributed phenomenon, manifesting in diverse forms across both small- scale and industrial- scale fleets, the latter accounting for about 82 to 93% of the 8.4 to 15.4 million metric tons global annual illicit marine wild fish seafood trade valued at US$6.2 to 12.2 billion. The massive rise in fishing effort since 1950 has not been matched by adequate regulations and enforcement, especially for industrial scale fishing in the waters of developing countries. About two- thirds of the illicit trade by value originates from fishing grounds in West Africa (27%), East Asia (24%), and Southeast Asia (16%). Remote sensing and AI technologies are improving detection of illegal fishing, but enforcement remains an issue given its high costs and the relative ease of laundering illegal catch through transshipments at sea, poorly regulated ports, and fraudulent documentation along seafood supply chains. Illegal fishing markets require multilayered policy responses grounded in transparency, international cooperation, and socioeconomic justice. Proposed measures, ranging from mandatory electronic vessel identification and subsidy reform to artisanal fishery protections and stronger port controls, warrant further research into their implementation and effectiveness.

By Greg Midgette and Meredith L. Gore

Illegal wildlife markets comprise a complex global economy generating criminal profits while harming biodiversity and livelihoods. The negative externalities from biodiversity loss, ecosystem destabilization, and zoonotic disease risk may be orders of magnitude larger than the multibillion dollar annual total market value. Despite decades of international policy attention, fundamental economic characteristics of these markets remain poorly understood. We suggest distinguishing three categories of illegally traded wildlife products
based on product durability and intended use: luxury durable goods, nondurable products processed to be food or medicine, and live or perishable exotic pets and plants. Through case studies of elephant ivory, pangolin scales, and succulent plants, we characterize market organization, pricing structures, supply network architecture, and regulatory vulnerabilities across product types. Our analysis suggests illegal wildlife markets exhibit economic characteristics distinguishing them from other illegal markets, including biological production constraints creating absolute supply limits, opportunistic supply networks exploiting existing legal trade infrastructure, and extreme markup structures leaving harvesters with a fraction of final
retail value. We conclude by proposing the concept of Accelerating Demand for Novel or eXclusive Assets, or AD NOXA, which describes how scarcity may paradoxically increase rather than decrease the appeal of
consuming certain wildlife markets. This paradox creates feedback loops that may drive species toward extinction, despite—or because of—protective regulations and fundamentally limits the effectiveness
of supply-side interventions. Policy responses may be more effective when they integrate supply-side enforcement with demand reduction strategies tailored to the distinct characteristics of illegal wildlife markets.

By Philip J. Cook, and Rosanna Smart

In the United States, the legal status of the 30 to 40 million annual firearms transactions is defined by state and federal regulations. These regulations primarily aim to reduce criminal misuse while preserving access for the large majority of adults who lack a serious criminal record or are otherwise proscribed from possession. Illegal firearms transactions are embedded in the “formal market”—sales, mostly of new guns, by licensed retail dealers required to screen purchasers and maintain records—and the “informal market,” where any of the 80 million gun owners may act as a source. A growing fraction of illegal transactions involve privately made firearms, fabricated from commercial kits or additive manufacturing techniques. The
firearms used by proscribed people are diverted from the legal supply chain, in some cases by professional intermediaries (thieves, straw purchasers, scofflaw dealers, home fabricators). Subsequent redistribution may involve professional brokers and traffickers. Most such enterprises are small in scale, with organized criminal groups serving primarily as customers rather than distributors. Compared with the drug trade, the illegal gun market is smaller and more exposed to law enforcement. For proscribed buyers, transaction costs are highly
differentiated, varying based on the local prevalence of guns, state regulations and enforcement, and individual connections. While preventing dangerous people from obtaining guns is intrinsically difficult in a regime designed for broad accessibility to most adults, regulations can substantially affect illegal commerce, and some regulations reduce criminal use.

By Tannuja Rozario, Abigail Hurst and Kate Reese

The United States is a nation of gun violence survivors. Each year, more than 19,000 people are murdered with firearms, and approximately 35,000 more sustain nonfatal gun assault injuries. Prior research demonstrates that survivors of firearm homicide experience profound disruptions to daily life, including financial strain and adverse mental, physical, social, emotional, and spiritual outcomes. These harms are often compounded in historically marginalized communities due to structural disadvantage and limited access to supportive
resources. Despite the prevalence of gun violence in the United States, relatively little research has examined survivors' trauma in the immediate aftermath of firearm homicide and its longer-term consequences. To address this gap, this study examines the short- and long-term social and psycholog experiences of the social and psychological trauma of firearm homicideical impacts of firearm homicide–related trauma, experiences of post-traumatic growth, and access to mental health services and support. Focus groups with 71 survivors of firearm homicide were conducted, and an intersectional analytic approach was employed to center populations underrepresented in the existing literature, including Black and Latinx survivors.
Findings reveal several key themes: The initial aftermath of firearm homicide shapes survivors’ coping trajectories, survivors express an enduring desire for safety, trauma is experienced collectively across
communities and shared identities, and many face persistent barriers to accessing support services. Together, these findings deepen understanding of gun violence as a source of enduring social trauma
and underscore the need for survivor-centered policies, services, and advocacy efforts.

By United Nations EMLER

In the present report, the International Independent Expert Mechanism to Advance Racial Justice and Equality in Law Enforcement examines how racism is embedded in drug control systems and shapes their impacts on Africans and people of African descent. It begins by exploring the root causes of racial discrimination in drug policy, including the legacies of colonialism, the racialization of drugs, the influence of militarized approaches and the “war on drugs”. The Mechanism then analyses manifestations of racial discrimination across the criminal justice system. Building on this analysis, it examines the intersection of drug policy with other grounds of discrimination, such as gender, highlighting how intersecting forms of discrimination can increase the risk of human rights violations. The Mechanism also identifies factors that exacerbate these harms and concludes by highlighting promising practices and policy approaches aimed at
addressing racial discrimination and advancing more equitable and rights-based drug policies. The present report also includes information on the activities of the Mechanism since its previous report.

By Alexander Ritzmann

This article is part four of CEP’s series on the violent extreme left in Europe. It focuses on antisemitism and eliminationist anti-Zionism within violence-oriented left-wing milieus. The article provides examples and analysis from France, Germany, Greece, Italy, and Spain and asks how antisemitic and anti-Zionist narratives can justify violence, connect extremist actors, or contribute to target selection. It concludes with policy recommendations for EU and national authorities on identifying, assessing, and responding to violence-oriented antisemitic extremism.

Key Findings
The Israel–Palestine conflict has become an additional mobilizing issue within parts of Europe’s existing violence-oriented extreme left. Several actors examined here have incorporated antisemitism and/or eliminationist anti-Zionism into established revolutionary, anti-imperialist, or antifascist agendas. Justifying violence as “resistance” is a recurring pattern. Some actors praise attacks or present militant action as a model for political action. The risk of violence increases when general support for “resistance” develops into endorsement of specific attacks, identification of concrete targets, or encouragement of further
violence. Target expansion is an important escalation indicator. In several cases, hostility moves from Israel and Israeli institutions toward businesses, organizations, and identifiable people described as “Zionists. Public lists, collection of identifying information, and intimidation reduce the distance between ideological hostility and physical targeting. Actors perform different functions: some legitimize violence, connect
groups, identify targets, or organize and conduct attacks. These functions can overlap without common leadership. Available statistics cannot establish the scale of antisemitic violence attributable to left-wing extremist actors across Europe. National systems measure different phenomena, and perpetrators’
affiliations often remain unknown.

By Mohammad H. Rahmati, David A. Hyman

Crime doesn't pay. Or does it? We study the role of expectations regarding sanctions and the likelihood of detection on whether people obey the law. We examine how expectations influence whether people obey the law and conduct simulations of various enforcement counterfactuals. We find the average assessment of the likelihood of detection is reasonably accurate, but those who (mistakenly) believe the probability is lower than it is are much more likely to break the law. Further, expectations with regard to the likely consequences of getting caught are also heterogeneous. In our simulations, perceived fines have little impact on willingness to break the law, but a higher perceived likelihood of apprehension has an appreciable impact. Because marginal respondents are pivotal in the rate of law-breaking, debiasing expectations among the whole population has little impact

By Gabriel Silveira de Queirós Campos, Américo Bedê Jr., Aline Pires de Angeli Ferreira

This article presents the findings of a quantitative study on sentencing practices in Brazil, focusing on the presence of numerical patterns and “penal clustering” in judicial decisions. Drawing on a dataset of criminal sentences from São Paulo—the country's most populous and active judiciary—the research statistically investigates whether Brazilian judges display preferences for certain sentence lengths, such as even numbers, “round numbers,” and multiples of 6 months. The study also examines the role of numerical fractions in shaping sentence variability. Despite Brazil's civil law tradition and the absence of formal sentencing guidelines, the results reveal a significant degree of penal clustering, with judges consistently relying on a narrow set of sentencing values. These patterns suggest the influence of cognitive heuristics, particularly “anchoring effects,” in sentencing decisions. While the use of numerical fractions may enhance consistency and predictability, it may also constrain individualization—raising concerns about mechanical decision-making and reduced responsiveness to case-specific circumstances. The article discusses the implications of these findings for judicial training, institutional reform, and public policy. It argues for a more data-informed and psychologically aware approach to sentencing, capable of balancing the dual demands of consistency and individualization within both common law and civil law traditions.

By Ian T. Adams, Kyle McLean, Geoffrey P. Alpert

Police body-worn cameras (BWCs) generate extensive video data on officer behavior, yet resource constraints mean that only a fraction of this footage is ever reviewed. Recent advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) present an opportunity to automate these reviews, potentially influencing police conduct. We evaluate the impact of AI-led auditing in two pre-registered, randomized controlled trials conducted within two large US police agencies. The findings are mixed but positive: In a department operating under a consent decree, officers exhibited significant reductions in substandard professionalism, whereas in an agency without external oversight, officers increased the frequency of highly professional interactions. These results show that AI auditing of BWC footage can influence officer behavior, with its effects shaped by organizational and institutional contexts.

By Kevin Petersen, Brian D. Johnson, Allison D. Redlich, Miranda A. Galvin

Extant research on criminal sentencing generally concludes that racial/ethnic disparity is concentrated in the “in–out” decision, and that racial differences in sentence lengths are small and inconsistent. However, sentence length analyses rarely focus on the fact that criminal sentences are often partially or fully suspended, creating situations in which the sentence formally imposed differs from the sentence served. In many jurisdictions, suspended sentencing is used widely and is a highly discretionary decision that carries considerable potential to mask racial inequality in punishment. This study uses 24 years of sentencing guideline data (2000–2023) from the state of Maryland to test for racial/ethnic disparity in the use of suspended sentences. Using a novel modeling approach capable of simultaneously estimating the probability of receiving a fully suspended sentence, a fully executed sentence, and variation in the proportion of the total sentence suspended, we test for racial disparities in the application of suspended sentencing outcomes. We identify significant and meaningful disparities in suspended sentences that are largest for minority defendants convicted at trial. However, we also find that this disparity has been declining over time. Ultimately, we emphasize the importance of distinguishing between active and suspended sentences in ongoing research on punishment inequalities.

By Lindsay Graef, Aurelie Ouss

Despite increasing attention to prosecutors' role in shaping criminal justice outcomes, there is limited empirical research on what prosecutors do. While most theories of prosecutorial discretion emphasize overarching goals related to justice and safety, our paper shifts the focus toward the practical realities of the job, particularly in the lower courts. We propose a case management model of prosecutorial discretion, grounded in analyses of misdemeanor cases handled by the Philadelphia District Attorney's Office. Importantly, our dataset includes hearing-level prosecutor identifiers and decisions. By adapting established benchmarking methods, we identify credible counterfactuals and analyze how prosecutor actions influence case and defendant outcomes. We find that prosecutors vary in their case management skills, which are an important driver of conviction. Defendants fare better under prosecutors who secure fewer convictions, indicating negative consequences of conviction, but prosecutors who secure fewer convictions tend to be less effective in their day-to-day case management tasks. This highlights a fundamental tension in a prosecutor's work: prosecutors meeting office standards demonstrate worse outcomes in terms of future criminal justice contacts. Our findings underscore the need to rethink what makes an effective prosecutor in order to achieve policy goals such as public safety, rehabilitation, and efficient resource use.

By William J. Schultz, Sandra M. Bucerius, Kevin D. Haggerty

Drug entry into prisons represents a serious issue for both incarcerated people and prison staff. Although substances enter prisons in many ways, staff drug smuggling represents a consistent problem facing correctional institutions globally. We draw on 131 interviews with correctional officers (COs) working in four Western Canadian prisons to analyze how COs understand and respond to drug smuggling. Participants drew on specific cultural narratives to portray coworkers who smuggled drugs, suggesting that CO occupational subcultures played a meaningful role in shaping how they perceived drugs, drug smuggling, and “dirty” correctional staff. Officers further detailed cultural narratives and frames they employed to detect and prevent drug trafficking among their peers. These included the informal social controls of boundary work and horizontal surveillance, which we analyze using Douglas’ concepts of purity and impurity. Participants justified such practices as efforts to reduce drug smuggling but also described how boundary work and horizontal surveillance stratified the CO population in distinctive ways. We conclude by discussing how CO cultures should influence our perceptions of staff drug smuggling.

By Francesco Calderoni, Jürgen Lerner, David Bright

This study examines how social embeddedness and multiplex relationships shape criminal collaboration within organized crime networks. Drawing on data from three major investigations into the ‘Ndrangheta, we analyze how kinship, clan affiliation, leadership, and prior interactions influence participation in meetings and phone calls. Using relational hyperevent models, we assess the dynamic and multiplex nature of these networks across time and investigations. Results show that kinship, leadership, and shared clan affiliation consistently increase the likelihood of interaction, with stronger effects for face-to-face meetings. Prior joint interactions also predict future collaboration, especially when the mode remains consistent. We find contrasting patterns of closure: meetings resist triadic closure, reinforcing exclusivity and hierarchy, whereas phone calls promote connectivity by bridging structural holes. By modeling multiple relational mechanisms simultaneously and across different networks, this study contributes to research on criminal embeddedness and the structural organization of illicit collaboration.

By Jason Robey, Matt Vogel

Social scientists have long been interested in understanding how age, period, and cohort effects shape long-term homicide trends. Yet fundamental measurement challenges remain pervasive in estimating age-specific homicide rates for birth cohorts. We begin by defining multiple alternative approaches for measuring homicide rates for birth cohorts, highlighting their advantages and disadvantages. We empirically demonstrate substantial differences in the estimated cohort-specific homicide rates across alternative measurement approaches. These discrepancies are particularly large when using 5-year age categories and 5-year birth cohorts, with a nearly twofold difference in estimated homicide rates for 15- to 19-year-olds in some cohorts. Substantively, these discrepancies have consequences even for basic questions about homicide trends, including which birth cohorts had the highest homicide rates. We provide a framework for understanding why these discrepancies arise and propose the reconstructed cohort measurement approach as a practical solution to produce valid estimates given available data. Simulation analyses confirm this approach substantially outperforms approaches used in the prior literature. Lastly, we demonstrate that these measurement challenges can lead to fundamentally different results in regression models predicting cohort effects on homicide rates. Our results underscore how accurately measuring cohort-specific homicide rates is an essential, yet often overlooked, part of understanding homicide trends.

By Katheryn Russell-Brow

This article is based on Katheryn Russell-Brown's 2025 presidential address at the 85th annual meeting of the American Society of Criminology, held in Washington, D.C. The article begins with an overview of the Author's approach to research and the highlights of her scholarly contributions. Following this, the article presents a research question—whether contemporary race and crime scholars and their scholarship have been stigmatized by the creation of a moral panic designed to marginalize and criminalize their work. This moral panic specifically targets Black history and other race-related scholarship. A criminological and sociological lens is used to analyze the breadth of the panic. Using moral panic as a base for the discussion, the next section examines the broad contours of stigma, and stigmatization and how race-related stigmas operate. Following this is a look at how negative stigmas assigned to race scholars and race scholarship harms the discipline of criminology. For instance, studies indicate that fewer scholars will embrace race and crime scholarship if its value is diminished. Migration studies and imagined futures are included in the assessment of how racial stigmas impact race scholarship. Academic disciplines benefit from rigorous engagement regarding their core principles and perspectives. The absence or diminishment of critical research creates a void in the criminology literature. This raises questions about the representativeness, integrity, and comprehensiveness of criminological scholarship. The article concludes with a charge to the discipline to ensure that race and crime scholarship remain a robust part of the criminological canon.

By Verónica Grondona, Markus Meinzer, Nara Monkam, Alison Schultz, Gonzalo Villanueva

This study presents a new, multidisciplinary method to assess countries’ vulnerabilities to illicit financial flows (IFFs) in different economic channels. Acknowledging that money laundering involves legitimate financial channels and regulatory gaps, our approach combines quantitative data on bilateral economic activities with a qualitative assessment of the regulatory frameworks of trade and investment partners. Using publicly available and contemporary data along with a legal analysis focused on the loopholes that can be exploited for IFFs, the proposed methodology addresses the limitations of current National Risk Assessments (NRAs) and offers an accessible and cost-effective approach that can be applied for anti-money laundering. We illustrate the effectiveness of our approach by analyzing IFF vulnerabilities in Nigerian inward foreign direct investment, Brazilian outward portfolio investment, and Indonesian imports demonstrating its potential to refine and enhance National Risk Assessments

By Mohammad Fazle Rabbi 

Environmental crime poses a significant threat to global ecosystems, biodiversity, and human well-being, encompassing activities such as pollution, illegal waste disposal, trade in protected species, and natural resource degradation. Understanding the dynamics of these crimes is essential for devising effective mitigation strategies and promoting sustainability at micro, meso, and macro level. The aim of the study is to examine environmental crimes in the EU, focusing on their current trends, patterns, and Intensity, as well as the impact on sustainability across its three dimensions. Fourteen EU countries environmental crime data from 2016 to 2021were analysed to reveal variations and trends. Geographic information systems (GIS) utilized to identify countries with elevated environmental crime rates, emphasizing the need for interventions in pollution control, waste management, and resource conservation. Results indicate high environmental pollution intensity in Italy, Sweden, and Denmark. Moreover, Italy emerges as the epicentre of illegal waste dumping, with notable cases also present in Belgium and France. Additionally, France, Slovakia, and Italy show alarming levels of illegal wildlife trade. Furthermore, France and Sweden exhibit the highest density of natural resource degradation cases. In addition, the study unveiled a positive correlation () between environmental pollution, trade in protected species, and natural resource degradation with population growth, while waste disposal exhibited a negative correlation (). Moreover, trade in protected species and resource degradation correlated negatively () with the poverty ratio. Addressing environmental crimes aligns with the pursuit of green justice, recognizing the interconnectedness of environmental, social, and economic factors. The findings offer valuable insights for policymakers, environmentalists, and communities, guiding interventions towards a sustainable and resilient future.

By Robert O. Motley Jr , Eric Williamson , Melissa McTernan , Sara Beeler c, Christopher P. Salas-Wright 

Purpose

Racism-based police violence (RPV) is an emerging public health concern. However, limited research has examined the relationship between RPV exposure and substance use, particularly among Black or African American and Hispanic emerging adults aged 18–29 years. This study assessed associations between lifetime RPV exposure across three domains (direct victimization, witnessing in person, and media-based exposure) and past 30-day and 12-month alcohol and cannabis use in this population.

Methods

A cross-sectional survey was conducted from August to October 2023 using a national nonprobability internet sample recruited via Qualtrics. The analytic sample included 936 Black or African American (48 %) and Hispanic (52 %) emerging adults. Negative binomial and logistic regression models were used to examine associations.

Results

Higher levels of RPV exposure were significantly associated with increased alcohol and cannabis use. RPV–Victim exposure was the strongest predictor of alcohol use, including past 30-day (IRR = 1.02, 95 % CI: 1.00–1.05) and 12-month (OR = 1.04, 95 % CI: 1.01–1.07) use. RPV–Witness exposure was most strongly associated with cannabis use, including past 30-day (IRR = 1.02, 95 % CI: 1.00–1.03) and 12-month (OR = 1.03, 95 % CI: 1.01–1.06) use. A dose-response pattern was observed across increasing levels of RPV exposure.

Conclusions

RPV exposure is a significant correlate of alcohol and cannabis use among Black or African American and Hispanic emerging adults. Findings suggest that perceived racialized policing is a significant risk factor for substance use and warrants further investigation as a potential structural determinant, highlighting it as an important target for public health interventions.